Morning update – Early/Mid Dec East Coast event
December 9, 2008
Well there is certainly a lot going on today… severe weather in the south central US, Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, and seemingly mild (but actually seasonal) temperatures here in Millersville.
WeatherTAP National Radar (Winter Mask) 12/09/2008 at 14:25z
Due to some technical problems, the Millersville Observations are not operational right now, but I’m using a few other local Personal Weather Stations (PWS) from Wunderground and other sites. From what I can tell on Wunderground’s Wundermap, temperatures are inching towards 40 in the mid-atlantic region as I write this, and they should be slowly but steadily rising up throughout the day, with a high around 49. Clouds are just about overcast now and I expect this not to change for a few days.
The Thursday night / Friday event seems to have all but disappeared from the latest (12z) NAM run (which, on the latest run, goes out till Friday evening), though the HPC’s forecast (issued very early this morning) still the idea of some sort of secondary low. Last night’s GFS run is still showing the low forming south and moving up the coast. This solution, however, leads to a more east track. However, knowing how low the resolution of the GFS is (compared to the NAM and actual obs), this sort of difference isn’t too big of a variance 60+ hours out.
