Upcoming complex system – a one-two punch

This upcoming system has a lot of things going on, and I couldn’t resist posting about it. In case this is your first time reading, I post mostly to keep track of what I think is going to happen, and see how I do. I figure some real world forecasting (and the ever-important verification) will somehow help me become a better meteorologist. At least that’s the goal!

Alright, back on topic: What’s in store for the Millersville/Lancaster/SE PA area over the rest of the week.

Tuesday: A strong warm front will move in… the low will be recorded around 1am or so as the front approaches… 7am it will be below freezing still, by mid-morning warm up to the mid-40s, and from there temperatures will start to plateau. Skies will be overcast all day and night… and that goes for the entire rest of the week, as well.

Tuesday Night: Temps will be in the mid to upper 40s throughout the night under overcast skies… moderate winds out of the southeast, turning south by day break. Possible isolated shower late.

Wednesday: Temps rise slowly throughout the day… possibly only four or five degrees from the low- this, of course, due to the overcast skies. We might hit 50 or even a few degrees higher. A mostly rainy day… most of the rain will be in the morning to mid-afternoon period. Winds will be moderate out of the south.

Wednesday night: The rain continues… we’ll probably receive over a half inch by late Wednesday night. I’d say about 0.8 inches total for this part of the storm. Winds will die down and begin to come out of the southwest. Temps will fall below freezing.

Thursday: Rain finally tapering off! Skies will be partly sunny to mostly sunny for the day, with a high struggling to reach 40 or so.

Friday: I’ll be back to update this… at first glance its looking like there is a chance of a coastal low riding up the east coast, which could spell snow! I’ll delve deeper tomorrow.