We just might get snow!

This situation has been looking pretty upsetting for the past few days… because I really just want to see some snow. But first, what’s been going on.

Verification!

Tues:

I said:

A strong warm front will move in… the low will be recorded around 1am or so as the front approaches… 7am it will be below freezing still, by mid-morning warm up to the mid-40s, and from there temperatures will start to plateau. Skies will be overcast all day and night…

What happened:

Temps rose all night; At 7am we were at 31; We didn’t rise too fast- only at 39 by noon; Max temp for the day was 48; skies were OVC all day, with a scattered/broken lower layer at some points

Not bad for a 0-day forecast.

Wednesday:

What I said:

Temps rise slowly throughout the day… possibly only four or five degrees from the low … We might hit 50 or even a few degrees higher. A mostly rainy day… most of the rain will be in the morning to mid-afternoon period. Winds will be moderate out of the south.

What happened:

We got up to 57! Wow! Rain all day. Winds were out of the south, then changing to out of the west, max sustained at 14 mph.

Now, what’s gone on today and tonight:

Lot’s of rain! The area is under a flood watch, and some parts of metro Philly are under flood warnings (but not flash flood warnings, meaning streams will slowly rise).

I’ve been very pessimistic about the possibility of snow tomorrow (Friday) morning and day, but I think we just might have a shot at a few flakes. I say this due to the fact that the latest NAM run has the 850 temps at -1 C at 7am. This could bring snow, since the snow will have (hopefully) not melted by the 850mb level. I still doubt any real accumulation, but a dusting isn’t out of the question- though I wouldn’t really call it a dusting… more like a layer of cool whip on top of the soaked ground.

Only time will tell!